Public Finance

Download Choosing the Right Formula by Panel on Formula Allocations, Committee on National PDF

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By Panel on Formula Allocations, Committee on National Statistics, National Research Council, Thomas B. Jabine, Thomas A. Louis, Allen L. Schirm

The workshop used to be a right away outgrowth of a prior examine via the CNSTAT Panel on Estimates of Poverty for Small Geographic components. That panel, tested below a 1994 act of Congress, all started its paintings with a really particular project: to guage the suitability of the U.S. Census Bureau's small-area estimates of negative school-age youngsters to be used within the allocation of cash to counties and faculty districts lower than identify I of the effortless and Secondary schooling Act.

In engaging in their task, panel individuals got here to gain that the houses of information resources and statistical methods used to supply formulation estimates, interacting with formulation gains equivalent to thresholds and hold-harmless provisions, can produce outcomes that won't were expected or meant. It additionally turned glaring that there's a trade-off among the ambitions of offering a cheap volume of balance in investment from 12 months to the subsequent and redirecting money to assorted jurisdictions as precise wishes switch. in a single example, for instance, the once a year appropriation incorporated a one hundred pc hold-harmless provision, making sure that no recipient may obtain lower than the 12 months sooner than. in spite of the fact that, there has been no raise within the overall appropriation, with the outcome that new estimates exhibiting adjustments within the distribution of software wishes throughout parts had no influence at the allocations.

Choosing definitely the right Formula offers an account of the displays and discussions on the workshop. the 1st 3 chapters disguise the evaluate, case reports, and methodological periods, respectively. bankruptcy four summarizes the problems mentioned within the roundtable and concluding periods, with emphasis at the identity of questions that will be addressed in a panel study.

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Sample text

Betson identified and discussed the implications of another kind of congressionally mandated formula, in the area of child support. In the Family Support Act of 1988, the states were required to develop and adopt mathematical formulas for use in setting child-support awards. Several consequences of this legislation may have some relevance to formula funding programs: • There was some initial resistance from the judiciary, who did not want to have their discretionary powers usurped by a mathematical formula.

S. General Accounting Office (1996) report suggests that the federal dollars are supplanting rather than supplementing state funding. It is not clear whether this is what Congress intended. Finally, the current population component of the formula is a very rough proxy for need. The Office of Applied Studies in SAMHSA sponsors a national household survey that collects current data on substance abuse. The National Household Survey of Drug Abuse (NHSDA) has recently been expanded to approximately 70,000 respondents so that it will be possible to produce direct estimates of the prevalence of substance abuse and mental health conditions for eight states and synthetic estimates for the remaining states.

The effects of a hold-harmless provision depend on the frequency with which fund allocations are recomputed. • Averaging over time reduces the variances of estimates of formula inputs. • If the estimation procedure and the funding formula are linear, allocations will be unbiased, that is, correct on average over time. After describing these relatively straightforward, general results, Zaslavsky presented simulation results that illustrate the more complex interactions between the statistical properties of estimates and the features of allocation formulas.

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